Arbeitspapier
Health-related life cycle risks and public insurance
This paper proposes a dynamic life cycle model of health risks, employment, early retirement, and wealth accumulation in order to analyze the health-related risks of consumption and old age poverty. In particular, the model includes a health process, the interaction between health and employment risks, and an explicit modeling of the German public insurance schemes. I rely on a dynamic programming discrete choice framework and estimate the model using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel. I quantify the health-related life cycle risks by simulating scenarios where health shocks do or do not occur at different points in the life cycle for individuals with differing endowments. Moreover, a policy simulation investigates minimum pension benefits as an insurance against old age poverty. While such a reform raises a concern about an increase in abuse of the early retirement option, the simulations indicate that a means test mitigates the moral hazard problem substantially.
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research ; No. 583
- Klassifikation
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Wirtschaft
Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
Health and Inequality
Time Allocation and Labor Supply
Retirement; Retirement Policies
- Thema
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dynamic programming
discrete choice
health
employment
early retirement
consumption
tax and transfer system
- Ereignis
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Kemptner, Daniel
- Ereignis
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Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
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Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
- (wo)
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Berlin
- (wann)
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2013
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
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10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Kemptner, Daniel
- Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
Entstanden
- 2013