Arbeitspapier
Age, Intentions and the Implicit Role of Out-Selection Factors of International Migration.
In this paper, I propose to isolate the role of age as a self-selection factor of international migration. The role of age is estimated on intended emigration rather than on observed outcomes of migration, using individual measures of intended emigration drawn from a large-scale survey conducted by Gallup. I find evidence that age has a monotonic negative effect on desired emigration for the working-age population. The estimations point to a very robust effect, suggesting that an additional year of age decreases the probability of intended emigration by about 0.5%. This effect is steady over different periods of time and for most types of countries of origin. The results contrast with previous evidence obtained on observed outcomes of migration, suggesting that out-selection factors interact with age and shape the demographic profile of migrants.
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 8688
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
International Migration
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
- Thema
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age
international migration
intended emigration
logit
large-scale survey
- Ereignis
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
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Beine, Michel
- Ereignis
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Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
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Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo)
- (wo)
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Munich
- (wann)
-
2020
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
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10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Beine, Michel
- Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo)
Entstanden
- 2020