Arbeitspapier

Age, Intentions and the Implicit Role of Out-Selection Factors of International Migration.

In this paper, I propose to isolate the role of age as a self-selection factor of international migration. The role of age is estimated on intended emigration rather than on observed outcomes of migration, using individual measures of intended emigration drawn from a large-scale survey conducted by Gallup. I find evidence that age has a monotonic negative effect on desired emigration for the working-age population. The estimations point to a very robust effect, suggesting that an additional year of age decreases the probability of intended emigration by about 0.5%. This effect is steady over different periods of time and for most types of countries of origin. The results contrast with previous evidence obtained on observed outcomes of migration, suggesting that out-selection factors interact with age and shape the demographic profile of migrants.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 8688

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
International Migration
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
Thema
age
international migration
intended emigration
logit
large-scale survey

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Beine, Michel
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2020

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Beine, Michel
  • Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2020

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