Arbeitspapier

Persistence, randomization, and spatial noise

Historical persistence studies and other regressions using spatial data commonly return severely inflated t statistics, and different standard error estimates that attempt to correct for this vary so widely as to be as to be of limited use in practice. This paper proposes a simple randomization inference procedure where the significance level of an explanatory variable is measured by its ability to outperform synthetic noise with the same estimated spatial structure. Spatial noise, in other words, acts as a treatment randomization in an artificial experiment based on correlated observational data. Examining twenty persistence studies, few perform substantially above the level of spatial noise

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: UCD Centre for Economic Research Working Paper Series ; No. WP21/25

Classification
Wirtschaft

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Kelly, Morgan
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University College Dublin, UCD School of Economics
(where)
Dublin
(when)
2021

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Kelly, Morgan
  • University College Dublin, UCD School of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2021

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