Artikel

Nash bargaining over margin loans to kelly gamblers

I derive practical formulas for optimal arrangements between sophisticated stock market investors (continuous-time Kelly gamblers or, more generally, CRRA investors) and the brokers who lend them cash for leveraged bets on a high Sharpe asset (i.e., the market portfolio). Rather than, say, the broker posting a monopoly price for margin loans, the gambler agrees to use a greater quantity of margin debt than he otherwise would in exchange for an interest rate that is lower than the broker would otherwise post. The gambler thereby attains a higher asymptotic capital growth rate and the broker enjoys a greater rate of intermediation profit than would be obtained under non-cooperation. If the threat point represents a complete breakdown of negotiations (resulting in zero margin loans), then we get an elegant rule of thumb: r∗L=(3/4)r+(1/4)(ν−σ2/2) , where r is the broker's cost of funds, ν is the compound-annual growth rate of the market index, and σ is the annual volatility. We show that, regardless of the particular threat point, the gambler will negotiate to size his bets as if he himself could borrow at the broker's call rate.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Risks ; ISSN: 2227-9091 ; Volume: 7 ; Year: 2019 ; Issue: 3 ; Pages: 1-14 ; Basel: MDPI

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
continuously-rebalanced portfolios
Kelly betting
log-optimal portfolios
margin loans
Nash bargaining
net interest margin

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Garivaltis, Alex
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
MDPI
(wo)
Basel
(wann)
2019

DOI
doi:10.3390/risks7030093
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

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Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Garivaltis, Alex
  • MDPI

Entstanden

  • 2019

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